USD/JPY: Point Forecasts Remain At 105 In Q3 & 104 In Q4


UOB Research discusses USD/JPY outlook and maintains a slightly bearish bias through year-end.

"As for the JPY, the shock resignation of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has triggered a sudden surge in JPY strength on risk aversion, pushing USD/JPY down from almost 107 to 105.50 over the past week. While intense uncertainty remains as to who will eventually succeed Abe as prime minister, there is unlikely to be little change to the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) current easy monetary policy stance given that the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) remains firmly in-charged," UOB notes. 

"Overall, we continue to see a gradual slide in USD/JPY lower in line with the broader weak USD backdrop. As such, we maintain our USD/JPY point forecasts of 105 for 3Q20, 104 for 4Q20 and 103 for 1Q21 and 2Q21 respectively," UOB adds.